Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Sutton
22.9%
Draw
16.6%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Sutton
vs
0.95
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).