Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Paris FC
24.0%
Draw
31.8%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Paris FC
vs
1.18
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.5%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).