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07 Sept 2019 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.7%
La Coruna
26.7%
Draw
25.5%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

La Coruna

vs
0.95

Albacete

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).