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01 Apr 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.2%
Morton
32.9%
Draw
47.8%
Kilmarnock

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Morton

vs
1.29

Kilmarnock

Markets

BTTS39.8%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.1%
0-1
15.0%
1-1
14.5%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).