Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Hull
27.4%
Draw
29.4%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Hull
vs
1.21
Watford
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).