Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Tavistock
17.8%
Draw
57.8%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Tavistock
vs
2.62
Swindon
Markets
BTTS75.5%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.7%
Over 2.580.4%
Over 3.562.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-3
5.8%
2-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
1-4
4.4%
0-3
4.0%
2-4
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
0-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).