Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.3%
Mallorca
21.4%
Draw
62.3%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Mallorca
vs
2.00
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.8%
0-1
10.6%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
5.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).