Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Luton
28.3%
Draw
27.2%
Blackpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Luton
vs
1.06
Blackpool
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).