Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Morecambe
24.3%
Draw
50.4%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Morecambe
vs
1.88
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
5.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).