Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Paderborn
30.9%
Draw
28.3%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Paderborn
vs
0.97
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).