Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Fiorentina
28.6%
Draw
37.3%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Fiorentina
vs
1.14
Lazio
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).