Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
30.3%
Draw
25.0%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
0.90
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.4%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).