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30 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.5%
Millwall
19.8%
Draw
10.7%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

2.19

Millwall

vs
0.75

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.0%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
0-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).