Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.0%
Frosinone
20.4%
Draw
66.7%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Frosinone
vs
1.94
Roma
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
8.6%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.2%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).