Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Fredrikstad
23.5%
Draw
19.0%
Kristiansund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Fredrikstad
vs
0.87
Kristiansund
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).