Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Portsmouth
29.4%
Draw
34.7%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Portsmouth
vs
1.22
QPR
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).