Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Padova
29.6%
Draw
27.5%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Padova
vs
1.05
Crotone
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).