Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Newport County
23.1%
Draw
40.5%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Newport County
vs
1.58
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).