Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Fuenlabrada
26.9%
Draw
39.2%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Fuenlabrada
vs
1.29
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).