Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Dresden
24.9%
Draw
38.5%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Dresden
vs
1.68
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS66.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).