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16 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.1%
Lechia Gdańsk
22.5%
Draw
25.4%
Legia Warszawa

Expected Goals (xG)

2.10

Lechia Gdańsk

vs
1.43

Legia Warszawa

Markets

BTTS67.6%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
1-0
5.4%
3-2
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-0
3.7%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).