Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.5%
Dunkerque
19.3%
Draw
13.2%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Dunkerque
vs
0.68
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.9%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).