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27 May 2020 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.9%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
28.3%
Draw
18.8%
Schalke 04

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
0.77

Schalke 04

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).