Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Lille
23.8%
Draw
40.3%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Lille
vs
1.46
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).