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15 Mar 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.5%
Kasimpasa
34.4%
Draw
36.1%
Alanyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Kasimpasa

vs
1.25

Alanyaspor

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.4%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).