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26 Feb 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.9%
Genclerbirligi
29.7%
Draw
11.4%
Yeni Malatyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Genclerbirligi

vs
0.63

Yeni Malatyaspor

Markets

BTTS40.2%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
0-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).