Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Southend
23.4%
Draw
14.7%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Southend
vs
0.81
Sutton
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).