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DHT: 11CSV

02 Sept 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.8%
Antalyaspor
36.8%
Draw
30.5%
Kayserispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Antalyaspor

vs
1.03

Kayserispor

Markets

BTTS45.6%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.9%
0-0
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).