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27 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.9%
Bradford
24.5%
Draw
23.6%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Bradford

vs
0.88

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).