Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.3%
Paris SG
22.7%
Draw
13.0%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Paris SG
vs
0.60
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
2-0
14.5%
1-1
10.0%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
8.2%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).