Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Southend
26.3%
Draw
17.7%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Southend
vs
0.83
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).