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AHT: 01CSV

18 Aug 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.6%
Gaziantep
33.5%
Draw
34.0%
Samsunspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Gaziantep

vs
1.27

Samsunspor

Markets

BTTS54.2%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.0%
0-0
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).