Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Sporting Gijón
26.5%
Draw
28.4%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Sporting Gijón
vs
1.06
Albacete
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).