Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Sheffield United
30.8%
Draw
27.1%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Sheffield United
vs
0.94
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
12.3%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).