Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Cosenza
36.0%
Draw
31.4%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Cosenza
vs
0.87
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.581.4%
Over 1.553.7%
Over 2.525.7%
Over 3.510.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.6%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
14.0%
0-1
13.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-0
2.0%
0-3
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).