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11 Sept 2022 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.4%
Gaziantep
28.7%
Draw
23.8%
Umraniyespor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Gaziantep

vs
1.23

Umraniyespor

Markets

BTTS61.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
0-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).