Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Istra 1961
32.4%
Draw
44.5%
Rijeka
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Istra 1961
vs
1.25
Rijeka
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
14.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).