Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.3%
Everton
18.5%
Draw
5.2%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Everton
vs
0.43
Norwich
Markets
BTTS31.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.5%
1-0
15.4%
3-0
12.5%
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
4-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-0
2.8%
0-1
2.3%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).