Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Oldham
29.5%
Draw
31.5%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Oldham
vs
0.94
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.7%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).