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DHT: 00CSV

23 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.1%
Falkirk
29.2%
Draw
41.7%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Falkirk

vs
1.50

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).