Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Albacete
26.5%
Draw
24.8%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Albacete
vs
0.94
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).