Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Morecambe
18.5%
Draw
64.2%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Morecambe
vs
2.11
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
8.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
7.0%
1-0
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
0-0
3.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-4
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).