Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.6%
Hamburg
24.2%
Draw
54.2%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Hamburg
vs
1.85
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
9.0%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-3
3.3%
2-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).