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14 Sept 2024 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.5%
Lechia Gdańsk
21.2%
Draw
26.3%
Radomiak Radom

Expected Goals (xG)

2.30

Lechia Gdańsk

vs
1.62

Radomiak Radom

Markets

BTTS72.7%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.574.9%
Over 3.555.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
3-2
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-0
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
2-3
3.7%
1-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).