Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.8%
FC Koln
20.2%
Draw
12.0%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
FC Koln
vs
0.85
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
1-2
3.7%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).