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HHT: 10CSV

22 Dec 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.9%
Dundee United
27.4%
Draw
21.7%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Dundee United

vs
1.07

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.8%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).