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02 Nov 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.0%
Catanzaro
26.0%
Draw
48.0%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Catanzaro

vs
1.72

Venezia

Markets

BTTS58.8%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.1%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).