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10 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.7%
Dender
26.8%
Draw
35.5%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Dender

vs
1.36

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS57.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).