Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.0%
Swindon
11.2%
Draw
5.8%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Swindon
vs
0.63
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.546.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
3-0
11.9%
1-0
9.0%
4-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-1
5.3%
1-1
5.3%
5-0
4.8%
5-1
3.1%
0-0
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).