Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.8%
Baltika Kaliningrad
44.8%
Draw
21.3%
Zenit
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.48
Zenit
Markets
BTTS20.1%
Over 0.567.5%
Over 1.533.6%
Over 2.511.3%
Over 3.53.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
32.5%
1-0
20.0%
0-1
13.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
3-0
1.6%
2-2
0.8%
3-1
0.8%
0-3
0.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).